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Margin of Error Calculator

The plus-or-minus on a survey result, from the sample size and the share who answered.

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Result…

%

The share giving an answer; 50% gives the widest margin.

Leave empty for a very large population.

 

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How it's calculated

MOE = z × √( p(1 − p) ÷ n )
× √((N − n) ÷ (N − 1)) for a finite population

A poll of 1,000 people at 50% has a margin of about ±3.1 points at 95% confidence. The margin covers random sampling error only; a biased sample, a leading question or low response rates can add far more error than this. It assumes a simple random sample.

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